I’m sorry but “The Black Masculist Show” won’t be premiering today!

As you might have noticed with the new year there’s been new gadgets I ‘ve been using to make the site, articles and the promo for the articles more appealing but one program I’m using is only working half ass!

“FilmMaker” the app I’m using, or was usingto make videos ain’t working. I do have a rough draft that I’ll try posting to the IG page but to get the article in full here’s the transcript:

“Ok I want to talk about the Adrian Broner vs Manny Pacquiao fight 2 weeks ago. Broner lost as I expected against Pacquiao in a mismatch fight to me. But what got me was the fact that Broner actually thought he’d won, and even dictated so. His delusion of victory reminded me of an article I read titled “Delusions of success: How Optimism undermines executive decisions” by Daniel Kahneman and Dan Lovallo. It was published in a 2003 article of the Harvard business review. The article was about how businesses take risks 8n uncertain situations based on their optimism rather than weighting the pros & cons. Psychologists see this as a consequence of flawed decision making.

I bring this up with the AB situation because excepting that fight was flawed decision making. He overestimated the potential boost in his career if he’d defeated Pacquiao while undermining the power, speed and experience of the world champion facing him. Now for those of us who prides ourselves on our past triumphs and victories it’s only human to become somewhat bigheaded off of the hype of our own natural talents for success while negating the skill it takes to remain successful.

Adrian Broner, the impressive boxer he is believes his hype more than his fans do. In the Harvard article Lovallo and Kahneman points to research into human cognition where in a survey conducted in the 70s on a million students when asked to rate themselves in comparison to their peers 70% rated themselves above average. Most people exaggerate themselves, we all do. THE article goes on to say “The inclination to exaggerate our talents is amplified by our tendency to mispercieve the causes of certain events”

We tend to also think we’re in control all the time. Just like AB thought but control is limited and shifts between energies. In the Art of War, Sun Tsu talks about knowing your enemy, knowing the terrain and knowing that change is constant, so you must have contingencies ready in place for when the fight shifts.  When the opportunity for control arise you have to take it.

AB had a good plan but it was based on his skills and not Pac’s. He didn’t know his enemy and he didn’t know his terrain. Kahneman and Lovallo calls this “Competitor Neglect” “Executives tend to focus on their own company’s capabilities and plans and Are thus prone to neglect the potential abilities and actions of rivals. The resultis an underestimation of the potential for negative events.

Look! I’m not saying don’t be optimistic, you’re supposed to be. AB is a good fighter but there’s an Inside view and an Outside view. Lovallo and Kahneman did business experiments of their own where they used these views. With the inside view of course we consider the objective, the obstacles, our skills and talents then we create scenarios to find a favorable outcome. The Outside view on the other hand examines the experiences of similar projects, there outcome and position that current project amongst them in comparison. This forecast actually produce a view more accurate. In conclusion overestimating your potential and undermining the situation (or opponent) will almost always lead to bad decision making.



Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s